{
  "experiment_name": "return_max_long_v8.55_composed_gld_tqqq_pos8685_f4reserve6500_bullrisk050_unkrisk09500_matrisk1350_matcap12_bullcap9905_gldmom0210_tqqqtemp098_topup0778_mixedcap0916_cap300_no_riskoff_sqs959",
  "dataset_snapshot_id": "pead_dualconv_ftb_fix_v2_probe",
  "description": "v8.54 from v8.53: conservative simple-capital return refinement. Raises material-contract mixed micro per-trade risk 0.1320 -> 0.1350 and restores GLD defensive momentum boundary 0.0205 -> 0.0210. Selected over 0.136/0.138/0.140 because it improves all/train simple and compound validation while keeping explicit valid/test, all simple DD, SQS, WFV positive rate, and RM positive rate unchanged. No buying-power leverage; TQQQ remains cash-parking overlay only.",
  "base_config": "configs/backtest/return_max_long_v1.json",
  "overrides": {
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      "score_threshold": 0.45,
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      "a_tier_score_threshold": 0.58
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      "per_trade_risk_pct_a_tier": 0.715,
      "max_daily_new_risk_pct": 50,
      "max_positions": 30,
      "max_positions_per_sector": 5,
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      "macro_regime_neutral_size_scaler": 1,
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      "cash_parking_gate_mode": "volatility",
      "cash_parking_gate_vol_lookback": 20,
      "cash_parking_gate_vol_threshold": 0.275,
      "cash_parking_temperature_threshold": 1.2,
      "cash_parking_entropy_lookback": 20,
      "cash_parking_entropy_threshold": 1.45,
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      "cash_parking_trend_mode": "momentum",
      "cash_parking_trend_sma_period": 20,
      "cash_parking_trend_reentry_pct": 0.001,
      "cash_parking_autocorr_threshold": 0.0,
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      "cash_parking_low_vol_overlay_symbol": "tqqq",
      "cash_parking_low_vol_overlay_vol_threshold": 0.25,
      "cash_parking_low_vol_overlay_temperature_max": 0.98,
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      "earnings_runup_trailing_activate_pct": 0.05,
      "earnings_runup_trailing_giveback_pct": 0.03,
      "earnings_runup_calendar_buffer_days": 1,
      "earnings_runup_momentum_20d_min": null,
      "peer_sympathy_enabled": false,
      "peer_sympathy_leader_event_types": null,
      "peer_sympathy_leader_reaction_min": 0.05,
      "peer_sympathy_correlation_min": 0.55,
      "peer_sympathy_correlation_window_start": 65,
      "peer_sympathy_correlation_window_end_skip": 5,
      "peer_sympathy_top_n_peers": 2,
      "peer_sympathy_blackout_days_to_peer_event": 3,
      "peer_sympathy_stop_pct": 0.035,
      "peer_sympathy_target_pct": 0.06,
      "peer_sympathy_max_holding_days": 3,
      "peer_sympathy_entry_timing_policy": "next_open",
      "peer_sympathy_leader_filing_time_buckets": null,
      "vol_breakout_52w_enabled": false,
      "vol_breakout_52w_lookback_days": 252,
      "vol_breakout_52w_volume_ratio_min": 2.0,
      "vol_breakout_52w_volume_median_window": 20,
      "vol_breakout_52w_atr_normalized_min": 0.015,
      "vol_breakout_52w_atr_normalized_max": 0.06,
      "vol_breakout_52w_pre_open_gap_max": 0.04,
      "vol_breakout_52w_skip_if_no_gap_data": false,
      "vol_breakout_52w_min_avg_dollar_volume": 10000000.0,
      "vol_breakout_52w_min_price": 5.0,
      "vol_breakout_52w_stop_pct": 0.03,
      "vol_breakout_52w_target_pct": 0.05,
      "vol_breakout_52w_max_holding_days": 2,
      "xsmom_enabled": false,
      "xsmom_lookback_days": 252,
      "xsmom_skip_days": 21,
      "xsmom_top_n": 20,
      "xsmom_holding_days": 21,
      "xsmom_momentum_min": 0.0,
      "xsmom_min_avg_dollar_volume": 10000000.0,
      "xsmom_min_price": 5.0,
      "xsmom_volatility_20d_max": 0.08,
      "xsmom_stop_pct": 0.1,
      "xsmom_target_pct": 0.3,
      "xsmom_vix_max": null,
      "xsmom_spy_sma_filter_period": null,
      "lowvol_enabled": false,
      "lowvol_lookback_days": 60,
      "lowvol_top_n": 20,
      "lowvol_holding_days": 21,
      "lowvol_min_avg_dollar_volume": 5000000.0,
      "lowvol_min_price": 5.0,
      "lowvol_max_market_cap_proxy": null,
      "lowvol_volatility_min": 0.0,
      "lowvol_stop_pct": 0.1,
      "lowvol_target_pct": 0.2,
      "lowvol_vix_max": null,
      "lowvol_spy_sma_filter_period": null,
      "breakout_52w_enabled": false,
      "breakout_52w_lookback_days": 252,
      "breakout_52w_top_n": 20,
      "breakout_52w_holding_days": 21,
      "breakout_52w_min_avg_dollar_volume": 10000000.0,
      "breakout_52w_min_price": 10.0,
      "breakout_52w_stop_pct": 0.1,
      "breakout_52w_target_pct": 0.3,
      "breakout_52w_vix_max": null,
      "breakout_52w_spy_sma_filter_period": null
    }
  ],
  "splits": [
    {
      "kind": "named_snapshot",
      "params": {
        "name": "train"
      }
    },
    {
      "kind": "named_snapshot",
      "params": {
        "name": "valid"
      }
    },
    {
      "kind": "named_snapshot",
      "params": {
        "name": "test"
      }
    }
  ],
  "tags": [
    "broad-vr32",
    "de-risk",
    "drawdown",
    "drawdown-reduction",
    "form4-cap",
    "no-buying-power-leverage",
    "no-leverage",
    "overfit-aware",
    "parking-dd-sweep",
    "pead",
    "pead-rebuild",
    "pead-v8",
    "return-max",
    "sqs",
    "tqqq-allowed",
    "tqqq-parking",
    "v6new",
    "v8",
    "v8.15",
    "v8.18",
    "v8.19",
    "v8.20",
    "v8.21",
    "v8.22",
    "temp96",
    "gate0275",
    "brake-v3-shape",
    "trail5",
    "form4-reserve49",
    "simple-capital",
    "compound-validation",
    "v8.25",
    "pos80",
    "mixed-inline-cap100",
    "drawdown-control",
    "reserve-fine-tune",
    "walk-forward-checked",
    "robustness-matrix-checked",
    "v8.26-probe3",
    "overlay-vol25",
    "form4-reserve505",
    "v8.27",
    "pos825",
    "brake-buffer008",
    "dd-focused",
    "v8.28",
    "core-score0415",
    "single-param-change",
    "test-window-improvement",
    "robustness-worst-improved",
    "v8.30",
    "pos86",
    "form4-reserve565",
    "topup01",
    "simple-capital-selected",
    "sqs958",
    "v8.31",
    "form4-reserve61",
    "gldmom0325",
    "position-cap-unchanged",
    "wfv-dd-improved",
    "rm-checked",
    "compound-validated",
    "v8.32",
    "topup025",
    "wf-checked",
    "v8.33",
    "form4-reserve62",
    "mixed-inline-cap09",
    "wfv-improved",
    "rm-horizon-mean-improved",
    "test-dd-sqs-improved",
    "v8.34",
    "form4-reserve621",
    "mixed-inline-cap091",
    "cap-edge-refine",
    "v8.35",
    "pos862",
    "form4-reserve622",
    "mixed-inline-cap091-kept",
    "wfv-checked",
    "v8.41",
    "topup0778",
    "simple-capital-developed",
    "v8.42",
    "bullcap9948",
    "dd-refine",
    "sqs959",
    "v8.43",
    "matcap12",
    "bullcap9935",
    "simple-capital-development",
    "v8.44",
    "unkrisk064",
    "bullrisk054",
    "v8.45",
    "pos868",
    "form4-reserve627",
    "bullrisk050",
    "unkrisk0635",
    "compound-improved",
    "wfv-worst-improved",
    "rm-positive-100",
    "test-dd-improved",
    "v8.46",
    "pos8685",
    "form4-reserve6275",
    "compound-checked",
    "v8.47",
    "matrisk1305",
    "unkrisk06375",
    "gldmom0318",
    "simple-return-improved",
    "compound-dd-improved",
    "test-dd-slightly-improved",
    "dd-still-open",
    "v8.49",
    "matrisk13072",
    "material-risk-boundary",
    "compound-dd-held",
    "wfv-rm-checked",
    "conservative-refine",
    "v8.50",
    "v8.51",
    "matrisk1312",
    "bullcap992",
    "bullcap991",
    "gldmom022",
    "gldmom021",
    "simple-capital-improved",
    "compound-validation-caution",
    "compound-validation-recovered",
    "v8.52",
    "form4-reserve6500",
    "f4reserve6500",
    "compound-validation-held",
    "test-unchanged",
    "v8.53",
    "matrisk1320",
    "bullcap9905",
    "gldmom0205",
    "simple-capital-dd-refinement",
    "v8.54",
    "matrisk1350",
    "gldmom0210"
  ],
  "notes": "Developed under simple/fixed capital; compound remains validation-only. v8.54 rejects v9 low-vol/xsmom silo probes on v8.53 because they lowered simple return and worsened DD. It also rejects bullcap 0.9900 combinations because compound validation collapsed despite a tiny simple-DD improvement. Chosen candidate keeps buying_power_multiplier 1.0, risk_off_alpha disabled, Form4 reserve 0.65, and TQQQ only as a low-vol cash-parking overlay.",
  "id": 1527,
  "aliases": [
    "v8.46 pos8685 f4reserve6275 bullrisk050 unkrisk0635 no leverage",
    "v8.46 simple-capital defensive compound/WFV refinement",
    "v8.49 matrisk13072 conservative simple-capital refinement no leverage",
    "v8.50 gldmom022 bullcap992 matrisk1312 simple-capital refinement no leverage",
    "v8.51 gldmom021 bullcap991 compound-validation recovery no leverage",
    "v8.53 bullcap9905 matrisk1320 gldmom0205 simple-capital DD refinement no leverage",
    "v8.54 matrisk1350 gldmom0210 conservative simple-capital refinement no leverage"
  ],
  "parent": "return_max_long_v8.54_composed_gld_tqqq_pos8685_f4reserve6500_bullrisk050_unkrisk06375_matrisk1350_matcap12_bullcap9905_gldmom0210_tqqqtemp098_topup0778_mixedcap0916_cap300_no_riskoff_sqs959",
  "created_at": "2026-05-16T00:11:54.362367+00:00",
  "created_by": "codex",
  "status": "draft",
  "generation": 30,
  "version_family": "v8",
  "changelog": "v8.55 from v8.54: raise earnings unknown inline postmarket strict per-trade risk 0.06375 -> 0.095 after simple-capital sweep. Keeps no leverage and leaves TQQQ parking gates unchanged.",
  "performance_summary": null
}
