1 Commits (1e7fcde14dd0906aaeb27767668857aca3ef4fbe)

Author SHA1 Message Date
I Luk Kim 1e7fcde14d Diagnose FINRA short-volume axis for V25: NULL result, V24 remains champion
Phase 1 diagnostic (diag_orb_short_volume.py) tests 3 short-ratio features
(prior-day, 20d avg, 20d z-score) on V24 200d trade set via FINRA CDN data.
All features fail all gates (|Pearson| ≤ 0.062, avg_R gap < 0.30R, WR gap < 5pp).

Direction inverts Boehmer 2020 hypothesis: high short ratio correlates positively
with ORB r_multiple (short-squeeze dynamics dominate at intraday ORB timescale).
V25 short-volume overlay not wired. V24 remains live champion.

Also adds scripts/audit_short_volume_coverage.py (Phase 0 DB coverage audit).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
4 months ago