_meta: id: 28 name: "ORB Gainers V23 Broad" status: frozen frozen_date: "2026-04-21" frozen_commit: "e492695e" frozen_reason: > Production live baseline (session e492695e). Do not modify; derive new engines as separate engine_family configs. V23 is the definitive champion after all 200d/400d/600d validation. Multi-engine Phase 1 begins here. description: > V22 → V23 via 2 validated improvements: ATR% quality filter + position cap adjustment. Validation mode: daily_budget_reset=true, compound_returns=false (단리/simple interest). V22 baseline: +98.73% (200d), Sharpe 3.24, DD -9.34%, 161 trades, WR 59.6% V23 result: +116.92% (200d), Sharpe 3.26, DD -9.35%, 154 trades, WR 59.7% Changes from V22: 1. min_atr_pct: null → 0.04 (require ATR-14 ≥ 4% of prev_close) Analysis of 400d trade distribution revealed that stocks with ATR/price < 4% (moderate-volatility names like energy stocks, stable tech) have 42-46% WR and contribute −20% total P&L, while >5% ATR names have 62.4% WR and +104% contribution. Filtering for high-ATR% ensures ORB candidates have the explosive follow-through potential the strategy relies on. Effect: 200d return +18.19pp. WR unchanged (+0.1pp). DD essentially same (−0.01pp). 2. max_position_pct: 0.80 → 0.70 High-ATR% stocks have larger individual trade variance (bigger swings). Reducing position cap from 80% to 70% of daily budget compensates, keeping portfolio-level DD comparable while the ATR% filter improves return. Without this adjustment: 400d DD −24.38% (fails gate). With: −23.97% (passes). Interaction: Neither change alone passes both 200d and 400d gates cleanly. Together they are synergistic: min_atr_pct selects high-quality candidates, max_pos_pct=0.70 manages their higher individual volatility. 400d validation (daily_reset): V23 400d: +120.87%, WR 57.7%, DD −23.97%, 286 trades, 112 days, Sharpe 1.94 V22 400d: +89.62%, WR 52.2%, DD −20.93%, 312 trades, 119 days, Sharpe 1.67 400d gates: return≥88% ✓, WR≥52% ✓, DD≥−24% ✓ (−23.97% passes by 0.03pp) 400d DD worsened 3pp but return/WR/Sharpe all improved significantly. Quarterly 400d attribution (known): 2024-Q3: −4.4%, 2024-Q4: +1.2%, 2025-Q1: −8.4% (volatile macro periods driving DD) 2025-Q2: +13.0%, 2025-Q3: +42.4%, 2025-Q4: +11.0%, 2026-Q1: +35.2% min_atr_pct filter graveyard (200d, daily_reset, on V22 base): - min_atr_pct 0.03: +86.09%, WR 58.7%, DD −10.85% (too lenient, includes drags) - min_atr_pct 0.04: +122.02%, WR 59.5%, DD −9.25% ← best 200d - min_atr_pct 0.05: +84.34%, WR 57.1%, DD −13.30% (over-filters, fewer candidates) - min_atr_pct 0.06: +98.40%, WR 61.2%, DD −16.49% (too few trades, high DD) - min_atr_pct 0.04 + max_atr_pct 0.08: +37.93% (filters too many good trades) - min_atr_pct 0.04 + max_atr_pct 0.09: 200d +81.70%, 400d +85.65% (below gates) - min_atr_pct 0.04 + risk=0.045: 200d WR 56.8% (fails gate), worse DD max_position_pct 0.75 + min_atr_pct 0.04: 200d: +110.75%, WR 60.7%, DD −8.93% 400d: +127.59%, WR 56.6%, DD −24.32% (FAILS 400d DD gate by 0.32pp) strategy_mode: orb orb_strategy: engine_family: gainers_leader live_readiness: live_ready orb_minutes: 5 sim_bar_minutes: 5 entry_direction: long_only order_timeout_minutes: 45 allow_doji_breakout: true allow_red_to_green_breakout: true min_price: 10.0 min_avg_dollar_volume: 25000000 min_atr_14: 0.50 # === CHANGE: require ATR ≥ 4% of prev_close (filter low-volatility drag candidates) === min_atr_pct: 0.04 min_rvol: 1.5 min_abs_gap_pct: 0.02 min_premarket_dollar_vol: 1500000 max_candidates: 20 max_candidates_per_sector: 3 min_candidates_to_trade: 1 ticker_cooldown_days: 0 max_gap_pct: 0.04 min_candidate_breadth: 0.60 market_regime_spy_threshold: 0.0015 market_regime_ticker: QQQ rolling_loss_days: 7 rolling_loss_threshold: -0.07 max_simultaneous_entries: 3 min_breakout_rel_vol: 1.2 weight_rvol: 0.35 weight_gap: 0.20 weight_dollar_vol: 0.05 weight_premarket_dollar_vol: 0.25 weight_body_ratio: 0.0 weight_momentum: 0.15 atr_stop_multiplier: 0.75 breakeven_at_r: 1.0 trailing_at_r: 1.0 trailing_stop_atr_multiplier: 0.8 trailing_tighten_at_r: 2.0 trailing_stop_atr_multiplier_tight: 0.3 partial_exit_at_r: 99.0 partial_exit_pct: 0.50 risk_per_trade_pct: 0.05 # === CHANGE: max position 70% (from 80%) to manage higher per-trade variance === max_position_pct: 0.70 daily_max_loss_pct: 0.05 max_stops_per_day: 5 exit_minutes_before_close: 5 slippage_bps: 5.0 initial_capital: 10000 compound_returns: false daily_budget_reset: true settlement_days: 1 # Preserved from V22 drawdown_governor_threshold: 0.025 drawdown_governor_min_scale: 0.30 # Preserved from V22 streak_sizing_win_bonus: 0.70 streak_sizing_max: 2.5 universe: source: broad backtest: start_date: null end_date: null lookback_trading_days: 200 cache: enabled: true dir: data/cache/intraday output: dir: runs/intraday_orb verbose: false