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I Luk Kim 08e41831bc Promote ORB Gainers V46: PEAD prior-event signal (D-7 lookback, w=0.12)
V24 → V46 via PEAD (Post-Earnings Announcement Drift) signal. Stocks with
earnings_release or guidance_update in prior 7 calendar days show +14.5pp
win rate improvement and +0.348R advantage on ORB breakouts.

Phase 1 diagnostic (291 V24 200d trades):
  Pearson=+0.135, Δ=+0.348R, WR gap=+14.5pp — all gates pass.

Phase 2 validation (w=0.12, Pareto-optimal from sweep):
  200d: V46 +114.60% / -11.83% / 3.21  vs  V24 +94.78% / -11.29% / 2.83
  400d: V46 +173.78% / -14.11% / 2.60  vs  V24 +162.1% / -13.70% / 2.471

Code changes:
- libs/intraday/domain.py: add prior_event_lookback_days: int = 0 param
- libs/intraday/orb_simulator.py: fix bug — weight_event_catalyst now wired
  for gainers_leader engine (was restricted to stocks_in_play_dual_regime only)
- apps/intraday_bt/run.py: _prefetch_prior_event_features_db() helper +
  DB routing in both catalyst trigger blocks when prior_event_lookback_days>0

V24 → status: superseded. V46 → status: live_champion.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>
4 months ago
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