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465e248cb4
Fix EarningsRunup trailing config that was previously captured in
Candidate.features only. Add activation-gated pct trailing to
update_trailing_stop with entry-relative giveback semantics
("lock in peak − giveback% of entry"). Plumb through
Candidate → ExecutionConfig → simulator. Default None preserves
legacy pct_X behavior — no impact on engines that don't opt in.
Add earnings_runup_poc_v2_tuned config: per_trade_risk_pct 0.65→0.30,
max_positions 30→8, max_positions_per_sector 30→4, macro_vix_max=30,
trailing_warmup_days 7→0 (activation gate replaces warmup).
v2 backtest (4y, 121 trades) vs v1 baseline (119 trades):
Total return: +37.27% → +254.69%
Max drawdown: 53.23% → 23.97%
SQS: 45.2 → 69.7
Robustness: 50.1 → 100.0
Risk score: 23.5 → 35.0
STOP r-mult: −0.41 → +0.65 (trailing-locked winners)
Promotion thresholds met: MDD < 25%, return preserved, SQS > 55.
Recommend integration as PEAD sleeve adjunct (orthogonal entry timing:
pre-print attention runup vs post-print drift) rather than standalone.
7 new pct-trailing tests: activation gate, ratchet, no-ratchet-down,
reversal-stop, legacy compat, end-to-end engine wiring. 28 passed.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 <noreply@anthropic.com>
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3 months ago | |
|---|---|---|
| .. | ||
| scenarios | 5 months ago | |
| __init__.py | 5 months ago | |
| allocator.py | 4 months ago | |
| artifacts.py | 4 months ago | |
| attention.py | 4 months ago | |
| calendar.py | 5 months ago | |
| daily_gainers.py | 4 months ago | |
| dividend_calendar.py | 4 months ago | |
| domain.py | 3 months ago | |
| earnings_calendar.py | 4 months ago | |
| earnings_runup.py | 3 months ago | |
| execution.py | 3 months ago | |
| experiments.py | 4 months ago | |
| form4_calendar.py | 4 months ago | |
| macro_screener.py | 4 months ago | |
| manifests.py | 4 months ago | |
| metrics.py | 4 months ago | |
| non_core_allocator.py | 4 months ago | |
| overfit.py | 5 months ago | |
| ownership_calendar.py | 4 months ago | |
| peer_sympathy.py | 3 months ago | |
| proxies.py | 4 months ago | |
| ranking_models.py | 5 months ago | |
| scoring.py | 4 months ago | |
| selector.py | 4 months ago | |
| snapshot_store.py | 4 months ago | |
| snapshots.py | 4 months ago | |
| splits.py | 5 months ago | |
| tracker.py | 4 months ago | |
| vol_breakout_52w.py | 3 months ago | |