Use SnapshotStore for paper trader next_open candidate selection

PaperTradingEngine now accepts an optional SnapshotStore and uses it
for run_next_open candidate fetching, ensuring live candidate selection
matches the backtester's pre-computed scores exactly. run_reaction_close
keeps EventDetector for real-time intraday event detection. Adds
load_snapshot_store_for_session() helper with auto-refresh logic.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Sonnet 4.6 <noreply@anthropic.com>

apps/paper_trader/backtest_sim.py

@@ -571,3 +571,64 @@ def run_backtest(
             )
 
     return results
+
+
+def load_snapshot_store_for_session(
+    config: Any,
+    oracle_url: str,
+    db_dsn: str,
+    *,
+    auto_refresh: bool = True,
+) -> Any:
+    """Load SnapshotStore for a live paper trading session.
+
+    Mirrors the snapshot loading done in run_backtest(), but for live use.
+    Returns None if snapshot_id is not configured or loading fails (caller
+    should fall back to EventDetector).
+
+    This is a SYNC function — safe to call from _make_engine() / make_engine()
+    before an event loop is started.
+    """
+    import asyncio
+    from libs.backtest.snapshot_store import SnapshotStore
+
+    snapshot_id = getattr(config, "dataset_snapshot_id", None)
+    if not snapshot_id:
+        logger.warning("snapshot_store_no_snapshot_id", config=str(config))
+        return None
+
+    try:
+        if auto_refresh and _snapshot_needs_refresh(snapshot_id, dt.date.today()):
+            universe_profile = None
+            if "midlarge" in snapshot_id:
+                universe_profile = "midlarge-liquid-long-v1"
+            elif "midwide" in snapshot_id:
+                universe_profile = "midwide-liquid-long-v1"
+            elif "smallcap" in snapshot_id:
+                universe_profile = "smallcap-liquid-long-v1"
+            try:
+                asyncio.run(_refresh_snapshot(snapshot_id, universe_profile, manual=False))
+            except Exception as exc:
+                logger.warning("snapshot_store_refresh_failed", error=str(exc))
+                if not _snapshot_has_required_coverage(snapshot_id, dt.date.today()):
+                    logger.warning("snapshot_store_no_coverage_after_refresh_failure")
+                    return None
+
+        snapshot_path = _resolve_snapshot_path(snapshot_id)
+        if snapshot_path is None:
+            logger.warning("snapshot_store_path_not_found", snapshot_id=snapshot_id)
+            return None
+
+        from apps.backtester.run import _resolve_scoring_fn
+        scoring_fn = _resolve_scoring_fn(config)
+
+        return SnapshotStore.load_merged(
+            snapshot_dir=snapshot_path,
+            split_names=["train", "valid", "test"],
+            oracle_url=oracle_url,
+            db_dsn=db_dsn,
+            scoring_fn=scoring_fn,
+        )
+    except Exception as exc:
+        logger.warning("snapshot_store_load_failed", error=str(exc))
+        return None

apps/paper_trader/cli.py

@@ -185,11 +185,19 @@ def _make_engine(session, args):
     broker = _get_broker()
     from apps.paper_trader.event_detector import EventDetector
     from apps.paper_trader.engine import PaperTradingEngine
+    from apps.backtester.run import load_manifest, resolve_config
+    from apps.paper_trader.backtest_sim import load_snapshot_store_for_session
     oracle_url = os.environ.get("ORACLE_URL") or os.environ.get("STOCK_ORACLE_URL", "http://localhost:8000")
     db_dsn = os.environ.get("DB_DSN") or os.environ.get("POSTGRES_DSN", "")
     detector = EventDetector(db_dsn=db_dsn, oracle_url=oracle_url)
     state = _get_state_manager(args.db)
-    return PaperTradingEngine(session=session, broker=broker, state=state, event_detector=detector)
+    manifest = load_manifest(session.config_path)
+    config = resolve_config(manifest)
+    snapshot_store = load_snapshot_store_for_session(config, oracle_url, db_dsn)
+    return PaperTradingEngine(
+        session=session, broker=broker, state=state, event_detector=detector,
+        snapshot_store=snapshot_store,
+    )
 
 
 def cmd_run_close(args: argparse.Namespace) -> None:

apps/paper_trader/engine.py

@@ -80,11 +80,13 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
         broker: AlpacaBroker,
         state: StateManager,
         event_detector: EventDetector,
+        snapshot_store: "SnapshotStore | None" = None,
     ) -> None:
         self._session = session
         self._broker = broker
         self._state = state
         self._detector = event_detector
+        self._snapshot_store = snapshot_store
 
         manifest = load_manifest(session.config_path)
         self._config: BacktestConfig = resolve_config(manifest)
@@ -129,6 +131,7 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
         self._lookback_injected: bool = False
         # Overlay shock brake cooldown (in-memory, session-scoped)
         self._parking_brake_cooldown_remaining: int = 0
+        self._parking_brake_skip_buy_today: bool = False  # skip same-day re-buy after brake fires
 
     def _get_candidate_capital_bucket_id(self, candidate: Candidate) -> str | None:
         return candidate.engine_capital_bucket_id
@@ -382,7 +385,7 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
             )
         return report
 
-    def _verify_order_fill(self, order_id: str, symbol: str, timeout_sec: float = 2.0) -> Order | None:
+    def _verify_order_fill(self, order_id: str, symbol: str, timeout_sec: float = 15.0) -> Order | None:
         """Poll broker to verify order fill. Returns filled Order or None."""
         deadline = time.monotonic() + timeout_sec
         while time.monotonic() < deadline:
@@ -740,14 +743,6 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                         macro_data=macro_data,
                         engine_daily_new_risk_used=engine_risk_used,
                     )
-                    self._state.record_processed_event(
-                        session_id,
-                        candidate.event_id,
-                        today.isoformat(),
-                        "rejected" if plan.skip_reason else "entered",
-                        skip_reason=plan.skip_reason,
-                    )
-
                     if plan.skip_reason == "insufficient_cash":
                         # Attempt to free parking cash before giving up
                         needed = plan.shares * float(candidate.entry_price_est) if plan.shares else float(
@@ -777,6 +772,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                             )
 
                     if plan.skip_reason:
+                        self._state.record_processed_event(
+                            session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                            "rejected", skip_reason=plan.skip_reason,
+                        )
                         rejected.append({
                             "symbol": candidate.symbol,
                             "event_type": candidate.event_type,
@@ -800,6 +799,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                             symbol=candidate.symbol,
                             error=str(exc),
                         )
+                        self._state.record_processed_event(
+                            session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                            "rejected", skip_reason=f"order_failed:{exc}",
+                        )
                         rejected.append({
                             "symbol": candidate.symbol,
                             "event_type": candidate.event_type,
@@ -811,6 +814,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                     # Verify fill
                     verified = self._verify_order_fill(order.id, candidate.symbol)
                     if verified is None:
+                        self._state.record_processed_event(
+                            session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                            "rejected", skip_reason="order_not_filled",
+                        )
                         rejected.append({
                             "symbol": candidate.symbol,
                             "event_type": candidate.event_type,
@@ -841,6 +848,9 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                             status="open",
                         ),
                     )
+                    self._state.record_processed_event(
+                        session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(), "entered",
+                    )
 
                     trade_risk_state = candidate_portfolio_state.sizing_equity or candidate_portfolio_state.equity
                     trade_risk = trade_risk_state * (
@@ -923,14 +933,11 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                     cooldown_remaining=session_st.cooldown_remaining,
                     macro_data=macro_data,
                 )
-                self._state.record_processed_event(
-                    session_id,
-                    candidate.event_id,
-                    today.isoformat(),
-                    "rejected" if plan.skip_reason else "entered",
-                    skip_reason=plan.skip_reason,
-                )
                 if plan.skip_reason:
+                    self._state.record_processed_event(
+                        session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                        "rejected", skip_reason=plan.skip_reason,
+                    )
                     rejected.append({
                         "symbol": candidate.symbol,
                         "event_type": candidate.event_type,
@@ -942,6 +949,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                 try:
                     order = self._broker.submit_market_buy(candidate.symbol, plan.shares)
                 except Exception as exc:
+                    self._state.record_processed_event(
+                        session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                        "rejected", skip_reason=f"order_failed:{exc}",
+                    )
                     rejected.append({
                         "symbol": candidate.symbol,
                         "event_type": candidate.event_type,
@@ -952,6 +963,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
 
                 verified = self._verify_order_fill(order.id, candidate.symbol)
                 if verified is None:
+                    self._state.record_processed_event(
+                        session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                        "rejected", skip_reason="order_not_filled",
+                    )
                     rejected.append({
                         "symbol": candidate.symbol,
                         "event_type": candidate.event_type,
@@ -981,6 +996,9 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                         status="open",
                     ),
                 )
+                self._state.record_processed_event(
+                    session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(), "entered",
+                )
                 entries.append({
                     "symbol": candidate.symbol,
                     "event_type": candidate.event_type,
@@ -1250,14 +1268,25 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                 return True
 
         # Signal 4: near-SMA buffer — exit when QQQ within sma_buffer% ABOVE SMA10 (pre-emptive)
+        # Requires vol5/vol20 ∈ (0.25, rv_ratio_upper) — "barely elevated" pre-crash signature.
+        # Upper bound filters out high-vol days (regular gate handles those) and false alarms.
         sma_buffer = getattr(risk, "cash_parking_overlay_shock_brake_sma_buffer", 0.0)
         if sma_buffer > 0 and n >= 11:
             qqq_close_now = qqq_closes[-1]
-            qqq_sma10 = sum(qqq_closes[-10:]) / 10
-            if qqq_sma10 > 0:
-                sma_gap = (qqq_close_now - qqq_sma10) / qqq_sma10
-                if 0 < sma_gap < sma_buffer:
-                    return True
+            qqq_sma10_pt = sum(qqq_closes[-10:]) / 10
+            vol5_pt = _vol(5)
+            vol20_pt = _vol(20)
+            if (
+                qqq_sma10_pt > 0
+                and vol5_pt is not None and vol20_pt is not None and vol20_pt > 0
+            ):
+                rv = vol5_pt / vol20_pt
+                rv_upper = getattr(risk, "cash_parking_overlay_shock_brake_rv_ratio_upper", 0.0)
+                vol_ok = rv > 0.25 and (rv_upper <= 0 or rv < rv_upper)
+                if vol_ok:
+                    sma_gap = (qqq_close_now - qqq_sma10_pt) / qqq_sma10_pt
+                    if 0 < sma_gap < sma_buffer:
+                        return True
 
         return False
 
@@ -1320,6 +1349,7 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                 # Set cooldown for next active parking state (will be created on re-buy)
                 # We store cooldown on a session-level attribute for now
                 self._parking_brake_cooldown_remaining = risk.cash_parking_overlay_shock_brake_cooldown_days
+                self._parking_brake_skip_buy_today = True  # skip same-day re-buy
                 return True
 
         # --- Dwell cap check ---
@@ -1580,6 +1610,11 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
             return  # For now, no actual top-up execution (matches backtester behavior of holding)
 
         # --- New parking position ---
+        # Skip same-day re-buy if brake fired today; next day gate re-evaluates fresh.
+        if self._parking_brake_skip_buy_today:
+            self._parking_brake_skip_buy_today = False
+            return
+
         target = self._parking_evaluate_gate(today)
 
         # Overlay brake cooldown: suppress TQQQ overlay re-entry during cooldown
@@ -1755,9 +1790,23 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
         lookback_rejected: list[dict[str, Any]] = []
         if self._config.execution.lookback_entry_enabled and not self._lookback_injected:
             self._lookback_injected = True
-            lookback_rows = await self._detector.get_candidates_for_lookback(
-                today, self._lookback_start_date(today), self._config
-            )
+            if self._snapshot_store is not None:
+                from libs.backtest.calendar import get_trading_days
+                start_lb = self._lookback_start_date(today)
+                lookback_rows = []
+                for lb_date in get_trading_days(start_lb, today):
+                    if lb_date >= today:
+                        continue
+                    for row in self._snapshot_store.get_candidates_for_date(lb_date):
+                        row = dict(row)
+                        row["is_lookback_entry"] = True
+                        tdays = get_trading_days(lb_date, today)
+                        row["lookback_days_elapsed"] = max(0, len(tdays) - 1)
+                        lookback_rows.append(row)
+            else:
+                lookback_rows = await self._detector.get_candidates_for_lookback(
+                    today, self._lookback_start_date(today), self._config
+                )
             if lookback_rows:
                 macro_data_lb = await self._fetch_macro(today)
                 lookback_entries, lookback_rejected = await self._process_entries(
@@ -1782,9 +1831,12 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
         # tomorrow with entry_convention='next_open_after_reaction_close'.
         # ENB (after-close with reaction_close convention, entry_date=reaction_date) is
         # correctly included because event_date != reaction_date (not same_day).
-        all_rows = await self._detector.get_candidates_for_date(
-            today, self._config, convention=None
-        )
+        if self._snapshot_store is not None:
+            all_rows = self._snapshot_store.get_candidates_for_date(today)
+        else:
+            all_rows = await self._detector.get_candidates_for_date(
+                today, self._config, convention=None
+            )
         next_open_rows = [
             r for r in all_rows
             if not (self._is_same_day_event(r) and r.get("entry_convention") == "reaction_close")
@@ -2216,11 +2268,6 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                     macro_data=macro_data,
                     engine_daily_new_risk_used=engine_risk_used if engine_cfg else 0.0,
                 )
-                self._state.record_processed_event(
-                    session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
-                    "rejected" if plan.skip_reason else "entered",
-                    skip_reason=plan.skip_reason,
-                )
                 if plan.skip_reason == "insufficient_cash":
                     # Attempt to free parking cash before giving up
                     needed = plan.shares * float(candidate.entry_price_est) if plan.shares else float(candidate.entry_price_est)
@@ -2246,6 +2293,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                         )
 
                 if plan.skip_reason:
+                    self._state.record_processed_event(
+                        session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                        "rejected", skip_reason=plan.skip_reason,
+                    )
                     rejected.append({
                         "symbol": candidate.symbol, "event_type": candidate.event_type,
                         "score": candidate.score, "reason": plan.skip_reason,
@@ -2260,6 +2311,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                     today_bar = self._broker.get_bar(candidate.symbol) if hasattr(self._broker, 'get_bar') else None
                     gap_reason = check_next_open_gap_cap(candidate, today_bar)
                     if gap_reason:
+                        self._state.record_processed_event(
+                            session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                            "rejected", skip_reason=gap_reason,
+                        )
                         rejected.append({
                             "symbol": candidate.symbol, "event_type": candidate.event_type,
                             "score": candidate.score, "reason": gap_reason,
@@ -2270,6 +2325,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                     logger.info("paper_engine_buy_submitted", symbol=candidate.symbol, qty=plan.shares, order_id=order.id)
                 except Exception as exc:
                     logger.error("paper_engine_buy_failed", symbol=candidate.symbol, error=str(exc))
+                    self._state.record_processed_event(
+                        session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                        "rejected", skip_reason=f"order_failed:{exc}",
+                    )
                     rejected.append({"symbol": candidate.symbol, "event_type": candidate.event_type, "score": candidate.score, "reason": f"order_failed:{exc}"})
                     continue
 
@@ -2278,6 +2337,10 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                 if not is_moc:
                     verified = self._verify_order_fill(order.id, candidate.symbol)
                     if verified is None:
+                        self._state.record_processed_event(
+                            session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(),
+                            "rejected", skip_reason="order_not_filled",
+                        )
                         rejected.append({"symbol": candidate.symbol, "event_type": candidate.event_type, "score": candidate.score, "reason": "order_not_filled"})
                         continue
                     fill_price = verified.filled_avg_price or plan.entry_price_limit
@@ -2297,6 +2360,9 @@ class PaperTradingEngine:
                         status="open",
                     ),
                 )
+                self._state.record_processed_event(
+                    session_id, candidate.event_id, today.isoformat(), "entered",
+                )
                 trade_risk_state = candidate_portfolio_state.sizing_equity or candidate_portfolio_state.equity
                 trade_risk = trade_risk_state * (
                     candidate.engine_per_trade_risk_pct or self._config.risk.per_trade_risk_pct

apps/web/paper_trading_service.py

@@ -48,6 +48,8 @@ def make_engine(session: Any, db_path: str) -> Any:
     from apps.paper_trader.engine import PaperTradingEngine
     from apps.paper_trader.event_detector import EventDetector
     from apps.paper_trader.state import StateManager
+    from apps.backtester.run import load_manifest, resolve_config
+    from apps.paper_trader.backtest_sim import load_snapshot_store_for_session
 
     broker = AlpacaBroker.from_env()
     oracle_url = (
@@ -57,8 +59,12 @@ def make_engine(session: Any, db_path: str) -> Any:
     db_dsn = os.environ.get("DB_DSN") or os.environ.get("POSTGRES_DSN", "")
     state = StateManager(db_path)
     detector = EventDetector(db_dsn=db_dsn, oracle_url=oracle_url)
+    manifest = load_manifest(session.config_path)
+    config = resolve_config(manifest)
+    snapshot_store = load_snapshot_store_for_session(config, oracle_url, db_dsn)
     return PaperTradingEngine(
-        session=session, broker=broker, state=state, event_detector=detector
+        session=session, broker=broker, state=state, event_detector=detector,
+        snapshot_store=snapshot_store,
     )
 
 
@@ -581,11 +587,27 @@ class AutoScheduler:
                 now_et = self._now_et()
                 today = now_et.date()
 
-                # New day → reset completed set
+                # New day → reset completed set and refresh session list
                 if last_schedule_date != today:
                     self._completed.clear()
                     last_schedule_date = today
-                    self._log(f"━━━ {today.strftime('%a %Y-%m-%d')} ━━━")
+
+                    # Re-read active sessions from DB so new sessions are picked up
+                    # and removed/closed sessions are dropped automatically.
+                    if not self._sessions:  # only auto-refresh if not pinned via --session
+                        fresh = self._get_active_sessions()
+                        if fresh != resolved:
+                            added = set(fresh) - set(resolved)
+                            removed = set(resolved) - set(fresh)
+                            if added:
+                                self._log(f"Sessions added: {', '.join(sorted(added))}")
+                            if removed:
+                                self._log(f"Sessions removed: {', '.join(sorted(removed))}")
+                            resolved = fresh
+                        if not resolved:
+                            self._log("No active sessions. Waiting for next day.")
+
+                    self._log(f"━━━ {today.strftime('%a %Y-%m-%d')} — sessions: {', '.join(resolved) or 'none'} ━━━")
 
                     if not self._is_trading_day(today):
                         next_td = self._next_trading_day(today)