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7.2 KiB

Strategy Improvement Leaderboard

Updated: 2026-03-17T07:57:00.128792+00:00

# Experiment SQS PF Ret% WR Sharpe DD% Trades Date
1 pead_midcap_step35_balanced_sleeves_nofrac_aclong12 90.4 2.01 +2.2 61% 4.2 0.4 56 2026-03-17
2 pead_midcap_step36_balanced_sleeves_nofrac_aclong12_sdlong12 90.3 2.06 +2.1 61% 4.5 0.4 54 2026-03-17
3 pead_midcap_step44_short_core_macro50 87.9 2.01 +1.3 57% 2.6 0.7 58 2026-03-17
4 pead_midcap_step47_short_core_macro_block_sdlong25 87.0 3.43 +1.3 68% 3.3 0.3 25 2026-03-17
5 pead_midcap_step45_short_core_macro_block 86.7 3.78 +1.2 70% 3.4 0.3 23 2026-03-17
6 pead_midcap_step51_short_core_macro_block_crashcap 86.7 4.19 +1.2 73% 3.6 0.2 22 2026-03-17
7 pead_midcap_step46_short_core_macro_block_acshort12 86.6 4.52 +1.3 71% 3.6 0.3 21 2026-03-17
8 pead_midcap_step52_short_core_macro_block_crashcap_gap10 86.3 3.35 +1.0 77% 3.0 0.2 22 2026-03-17
9 pead_midcap_step48_short_core_macro_block_nolong 85.7 3.40 +0.8 80% 2.4 0.4 20 2026-03-17
10 pead_midcap_step40_short_core_sdlong12 82.1 1.77 +1.5 58% 2.2 1.1 55 2026-03-17
11 pead_midcap_step34_balanced_sleeves_nofrac_aclong25 81.3 1.62 +1.8 56% 3.8 0.6 62 2026-03-17
12 pead_midcap_step43_short_core_sdlong25 78.9 1.66 +1.5 57% 2.0 1.3 58 2026-03-17
13 pead_midcap_step31_balanced_sleeves_nofrac_acshort12 77.9 1.49 +1.6 55% 3.2 0.7 64 2026-03-17
14 pead_midcap_step39_balanced_sleeves_sdlong12 77.9 1.50 +1.5 55% 3.4 0.5 62 2026-03-17
15 pead_midcap_step30_balanced_sleeves_nofrac 75.2 1.41 +1.4 54% 2.8 0.8 67 2026-03-17
16 pead_midcap_step33_balanced_sleeves_nofrac_acshort6 73.9 1.47 +1.2 52% 2.3 0.7 48 2026-03-17
17 pead_midcap_step37_balanced_sleeves_aclong_vol3 73.6 1.38 +1.2 54% 2.5 0.8 63 2026-03-17
18 pead_midcap_step41_short_core_sdlong12_acshort50 72.6 1.53 +1.2 56% 1.6 1.3 59 2026-03-17
19 pead_midcap_step42_short_core_only 66.3 1.44 +0.8 63% 1.2 1.2 46 2026-03-17
20 pead_midcap_step14_score65 64.2 1.22 +0.7 57% 1.3 0.9 72 2026-03-17
21 pead_midcap_step18_nofrac 63.2 1.23 +0.8 52% 1.4 0.9 64 2026-03-17
22 pead_midcap_step19_hold5 62.9 1.20 +0.7 57% 1.2 0.9 72 2026-03-17
23 pead_midcap_step20_best3 62.0 1.22 +0.7 52% 1.3 0.9 64 2026-03-17
24 pead_midcap_step17_target2 59.4 1.18 +0.6 53% 1.1 0.8 66 2026-03-17
25 pead_midcap_step27_sdlong_close7_budget25 57.9 1.17 +0.6 54% 0.9 1.3 68 2026-03-17
26 pead_midcap_step13_best 57.7 1.12 +0.4 55% 0.8 0.9 75 2026-03-16
27 pead_midcap_step23_sdlong_close7 55.1 1.13 +0.5 54% 0.7 1.4 69 2026-03-17
28 pead_midcap_step38_balanced_sleeves_aclong_vol4 54.2 1.12 +0.4 51% 0.8 0.9 61 2026-03-17
29 pead_midcap_step16_react7_score65 53.2 0.97 -0.1 56% -0.2 1.6 89 2026-03-17
30 pead_midcap_step5_maxcand3 52.5 0.95 -0.2 54% -0.4 1.4 96 2026-03-16
31 pead_midcap_portfolio_v2 52.0 1.08 +0.3 51% 0.5 1.8 70 2026-03-17
32 pead_midcap_step15_react7 51.7 0.94 -0.3 55% -0.5 1.6 91 2026-03-17
33 pead_midcap_step11_score60 50.2 1.02 +0.1 52% 0.2 0.9 77 2026-03-16
34 pead_midcap_step12_vol2x 50.2 1.02 +0.1 52% 0.1 0.9 77 2026-03-16
35 pead_midcap_step3_10pct 49.8 1.00 +0.0 50% 0.0 1.4 98 2026-03-16
36 pead_midcap_step10_short 49.2 1.00 -0.0 52% -0.0 0.9 79 2026-03-16
37 pead_midcap_step53_short_core_macro_block_crashcap_gap14 43.1 4.60 +1.1 84% 3.5 0.2 19 2026-03-17
38 pead_midcap_step50_same_day_short_long_macro_block 41.9 3.21 +0.8 60% 2.7 0.4 15 2026-03-17
39 pead_midcap_step2_notrail 41.4 0.93 -0.3 67% -0.4 1.7 54 2026-03-16
40 pead_midcap_step1_fixedr 39.7 0.91 -0.5 47% -0.7 1.5 95 2026-03-16
41 pead_midcap_combo_10pct_maxcand3 39.2 0.97 -0.1 51% -0.2 0.9 79 2026-03-16
42 pead_midcap_step49_same_day_short_macro_block 38.9 2.40 +0.4 70% 1.6 0.4 10 2026-03-17
43 pead_midcap_step6_drift 37.0 0.86 -0.9 43% -1.6 1.7 100 2026-03-16
44 pead_midcap_step7_fixedr 35.4 0.94 -0.2 45% -0.4 1.0 71 2026-03-16
45 pead_midcap_step4_longonly 32.6 0.84 -0.8 45% -1.2 1.4 78 2026-03-16
46 pead_midcap_step8_nft 31.3 0.65 -1.8 41% -3.0 2.2 71 2026-03-16
47 pead_midcap_step9_stop2 31.1 0.77 -1.7 45% -1.8 2.5 71 2026-03-16

Recent Entries

IMP-0047 (2026-03-17) — pead_midcap_step53_short_core_macro_block_crashcap_gap14

Hypothesis: A stricter same-day long gap filter might further concentrate the overlay into only the strongest continuation setups. Verdict: WORSE (SQS 43.1) Reasoning: The stricter gap filter over-concentrated the overlay, dropped total trade count below a healthy level, and cratered test SQS. Next: Use moderate overlay filters only; the strict version is too sparse.

IMP-0046 (2026-03-17) — pead_midcap_step52_short_core_macro_block_crashcap_gap10

Hypothesis: The same-day long overlay may work better when restricted to larger reaction-day gap moves. Verdict: NEUTRAL (SQS 86.3) Reasoning: A 10% gap filter made train and valid much stronger but gave back some test performance, so this is a balanced alternative rather than a clear new leader. Next: If optimizing for robustness across splits, keep exploring overlay quality gates around this variant.

IMP-0045 (2026-03-17) — pead_midcap_step51_short_core_macro_block_crashcap

Hypothesis: Extreme one-day crash continuations are too stretched for the same-day short sleeve and should be excluded. Verdict: BETTER (SQS 86.7) Reasoning: Capping same-day shorts at -45% reaction preserved train and valid while modestly improving test return, PF, drawdown, and Sharpe versus step45. Next: Combine the crash cap with a quality filter on the same-day long overlay.

IMP-0044 (2026-03-17) — pead_midcap_step50_same_day_short_long_macro_block

Hypothesis: The same-day long overlay may matter, but the after-close short sleeve may be removable. Verdict: WORSE (SQS 41.9) Reasoning: Dropping the after-close short sleeve reduced both valid and test performance, so step45 still benefits from carrying all three active sleeves. Next: Refine sleeve quality rather than deleting sleeves wholesale.

IMP-0043 (2026-03-17) — pead_midcap_step49_same_day_short_macro_block

Hypothesis: The pure same-day short engine might dominate the portfolio and make other sleeves unnecessary. Verdict: WORSE (SQS 38.9) Reasoning: The single-sleeve version collapsed SQS because trade count and robustness fell too far, even though the kept trades were profitable. Next: Keep the supporting sleeves and test smaller structural adjustments instead.